email at 47west63rd@gmail.com

Tuesday, October 19, 2004

Presidential Election Forecast

our model is churning out the following based on all available information.. we believe that give or take the die is cast:


Popular Vote
John Kerry 51.23
George Bush 47.34
Ralph Nader 1.09



State by State


For Bush:
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), Virginia (13), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3)


Bush Electoral Votes: 207


For Kerry:
California (55), Colorado (9), Connecticutt (7), Delaware (3), Washington DC (3), Florida (27), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Iowa (7), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), Michigan (17), Minnesota (10), Missouri (11), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (15), New Mexico (5), New York (31), Ohio (20), Oregon (7), Pennsylvania (21), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (11), Wisconsin (10)


Kerry Electoral Votes: 331

Turnout: 56.8%

Note: Our Model has the most difficulty predicting the behavior of the State of West Virginia.

Note2: We may elect to provide an update...


2 comments:

Tim Cooper said...

works for me

Tim Cooper said...

works for me

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